6
Sacree Philomene
2yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 10
Deauville · Prix De Cagnes-sur-Mer Claiming Stakes · 6f 101y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength61%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.2
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Dieppe | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Cholet | 3 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-05-31 | Chantilly | 1 | 8th | 4th | +4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Chantilly | 3 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-03-29 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 3-11 · tight 44/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength31%
Delivery trend -7.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2026 | 4th | 6/5 | 94% | 63% | -0.31 |
| 04/05/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 89% | -0.01 |
| 31/05/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 30/06/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 17/09/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 56% | -0.31 |