IvyArcIvyArc
7

Altia

3yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 6

Deauville · Prix Du Plouich Claiming Stakes · 1m 1f 97y

#8

Rank

Odds

13/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Clairefontaine 11/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f205y GS 12311/07C5C5 @ Deauville 06/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1276/08C5C5 @ Clairefontaine 29/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m208y Hvy 12329/08C5C5 @ Amiens 27/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f205y Sft 12827/09C5projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-27Amiens?5th5th0
2026-08-29Clairefontaine?5th5th0
2026-08-06Deauville?6th6th0
2026-07-11Clairefontaine?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/076/0829/0827/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 3-11 · tight 47/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength44%

Delivery trend -9.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/07/20268th40/10%36%+0.36
06/08/20266th50/10%50%+0.50
29/08/20265th40/10%56%+0.56
27/09/20265th9/153%56%+0.03