2
Deux Ponts
3yo Colt · 9-6 · Draw 12
Deauville · Prix Du Plouich Claiming Stakes · 1m 1f 97y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
96%
Place Prob
67%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | 3 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-07-22 | Saint-Malo | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Compiegne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 2-8 · tight 64/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength67%
Delivery trend -8.4% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 13/11/2025 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 11/04/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 90% | +0.29 |
| 09/05/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | -0.01 |
| 09/06/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 47% | +0.20 |
| 02/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 88% | -0.06 |
| 22/07/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 27/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 78% | +0.30 |
| 18/09/2026 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 46% | -0.09 |