8
Gariga
3yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 11
Deauville · Prix Du Plouich Claiming Stakes · 1m 1f 97y
#4
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Angers | 3 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2025-07-24 | Saint-Malo | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-06-25 | Strasbourg | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-06-11 | Craon | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 2-12 · tight 35/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength25%
Delivery trend -11.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/2025 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 90% | +0.85 |
| 25/06/2025 | 3rd | 4/9 | 98% | 60% | -0.38 |
| 24/07/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 02/05/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 09/07/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |