1
Monarco
3yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 5
Deauville · Prix Du Plouich Claiming Stakes · 1m 1f 97y
#6
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Amiens | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-17 | Dieppe | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Chantilly | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Deauville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Deauville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 26/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength43%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 30/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 20/07/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 06/08/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 56% | -0.05 |
| 11/08/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 20/08/2026 | 12th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 04/09/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 22% | -0.04 |
| 17/09/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 58% | +0.32 |
| 27/09/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 77% | +0.11 |