5
Rue Recamier
3yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 10
Deauville · Prix Du Plouich Claiming Stakes · 1m 1f 97y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength44%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.9
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Dieppe | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Le Lion D'angers | 3 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-07-07 | Chantilly | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Le Lion D'angers | 3 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-05-21 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-10-06 | Le Mans | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 3-12 · tight 44/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength39%
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/2025 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 06/10/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |
| 21/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 05/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 07/07/2026 | 14th | 18/1 | 5% | 7% | +0.02 |
| 09/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 17/09/2026 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 42% | -0.44 |