11
Sparks Of Love
3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 4
Deauville · Prix Du Plouich Claiming Stakes · 1m 1f 97y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Dieppe | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Clairefontaine | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Mont De Marsan | 3 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-06-26 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Nancy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 7-12 · tight 69/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength4%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 05/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 17/05/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 28/05/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 05/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 26/07/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 07/08/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 17/09/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |