6
Villa Adrienne
3yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 3
Deauville · Prix Du Plouich Claiming Stakes · 1m 1f 97y
#2
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-27 | Pornichet | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Chantilly | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-27 | Pornichet | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-07 | Pornichet | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Pornichet | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Pornichet | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 11-12 · tight 87/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 64% | -0.18 |
| 26/09/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 70% | -0.14 |
| 23/10/2025 | 11th | 13/2 | 66% | 9% | -0.57 |
| 22/11/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 63% | -0.14 |
| 19/12/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 07/01/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 27/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 90% | -0.01 |
| 12/02/2026 | 7th | 15/8 | 90% | 40% | -0.50 |
| 27/02/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 11% | -0.68 |