2
Charlesquint
9yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 8 · OR 97
Deauville · Prix Des Weppes Claiming Stakes · 1m 1f 97y
#1
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
91%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼1
Strength62%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Chantilly | 3 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Deauville | 3 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Deauville | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 7-10 · tight 76/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength12%
Delivery trend -8.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 30/03/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 47% | +0.31 |
| 28/04/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 19/05/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 79% | +0.10 |
| 06/08/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 54% | -0.12 |
| 11/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 20/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 27/08/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 29/09/2026 | 14th | 11/1 | 42% | 7% | -0.35 |