10
Murray
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 1
Deauville · Prix Des Weppes Claiming Stakes · 1m 1f 97y
#9
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.1
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Deauville | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-24 | Dieppe | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Nancy | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-11-22 | Chantilly | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2024-06-11 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2023-12-15 | Deauville | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2023 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 69% | +0.42 |
| 15/12/2023 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/06/2024 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |
| 22/11/2024 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 24/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 01/09/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 70% | +0.44 |