1

Saint Hellier

7yo Gelding · 9-13 · Draw 4

Deauville · Prix Des Weppes Claiming Stakes · 1m 1f 97y

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength39%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Deauville 25/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 14525/11C5C5 @ Chantilly 19/12/2025 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 7f209y Std 1303 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 17/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS17/0133 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 27/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y Ver 130 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Marseille 20/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 13620/0642 @ Mont De Marsan 26/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 118 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Deauville 22/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f97y Ver 152 · HIGHER CLASS22/083C5 @ Chantilly 14/09/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 130C0 @ Chantilly 23/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 12523/09C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-23Chantilly?11th11th0
2026-09-14Chantilly?14th15th−1
2026-08-22Deauville36th5th+1
2026-07-26Mont De Marsan27th5th+2
2026-06-20Marseille41st1st0
2026-01-27Cagnes-sur-Mer34th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/1127/0122/0823/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength81%

Delivery trend +4.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/11/20251st11/1094%100%+0.06
19/12/202512th5/174%8%-0.65
17/01/20262nd9/276%91%+0.15
27/01/20264th2/189%73%-0.17
20/06/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
26/07/20267th16/116%57%+0.41
22/08/20266th5/174%44%-0.29
14/09/202614th50/10%7%+0.07
23/09/202611th50/10%23%+0.23