8
Volcano
4yo Gelding · 9-1 · Draw 10
Deauville · Prix Des Weppes Claiming Stakes · 1m 1f 97y
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength42%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.1 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.4
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.6
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Chantilly | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Deauville | 2 | 14th | 12th | +2 |
| 2026-06-22 | Lyon-Parilly | 2 | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2026-06-01 | Cholet | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-04-07 | Deauville | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-03 | Chantilly | 2 | 15th | 13th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength78%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 05/12/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 16/01/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 03/03/2026 | 15th | 14/1 | 26% | 7% | -0.20 |
| 07/04/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 69% | +0.43 |
| 01/06/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 22/06/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 11/08/2026 | 14th | 18/1 | 5% | 13% | +0.08 |
| 23/09/2026 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 15% | -0.11 |