3
Climate Change
6yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 1
Deauville · Prix Du Cambresis Stakes · 1m 1f 97y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
17%
Place Prob
25%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength67%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.6
Today:
Class gap: +1.9
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Dieppe | 2 | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-06-11 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-03-21 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 5th | 1st | +4 |
| 2025-11-15 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 3-6 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength33%
Delivery trend -4.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 02/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 27/09/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 29% | -0.53 |
| 11/10/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 57% | -0.31 |
| 15/11/2025 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 21/03/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 30/07/2026 | 8th | 5/2 | 87% | 13% | -0.74 |