IvyArcIvyArc
4

Dark Rockster

4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 5

Deauville · Prix Du Cambresis Stakes · 1m 1f 97y

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

6%

Place Prob

15%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 2.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Lyon-Parilly 16/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 12316/04C5C5 @ Saint-Cloud 19/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 1m3f204y Gd 12819/05C5C5 @ Dieppe 14/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m6f200y Sft 12814/06C5projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-06-14Dieppe?1st1st0
2025-05-19Saint-Cloud?4th4th0
2025-04-16Lyon-Parilly?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0419/0514/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 32/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength18%

Delivery trend -33.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/04/20252nd22/10%86%+0.86
19/05/20254th15/261%40%-0.21
14/06/20251st7/282%100%+0.18