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5

Wakaburn

7yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 2

Deauville · Prix Du Cambresis Stakes · 1m 1f 97y

#4

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength68%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.2
Today:
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC1 @ ParisLongchamp 13/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 1m1f43y GS 125 · HIGHER CLASS13/04C1C1 @ ParisLongchamp 08/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 125 · HIGHER CLASSC1 @ Clairefontaine 02/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m208y GS 129 · HIGHER CLASS2/08C12 @ Chantilly 21/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 124 · HIGHER CLASS2 @ Chantilly 12/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 123 · HIGHER CLASS12/0221 @ Chantilly 08/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 124 · HIGHER CLASS2 @ Saint-Cloud 05/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 123 · HIGHER CLASS5/0724 @ Vichy 23/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 123 · HIGHER CLASS2 @ Deauville 04/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 132 · HIGHER CLASS4/082projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-04Deauville211th8th+3
2026-07-23Vichy42nd1st+1
2026-07-05Saint-Cloud26th3rd+3
2026-03-08Chantilly17th3rd+4
2026-02-12Chantilly27th4th+3
2026-01-21Chantilly23rd0th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0421/015/074/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 2-6 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength40%

Delivery trend -3.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/04/20251st16/116%100%+0.84
08/06/20256th40/10%17%+0.17
02/08/20259th12/137%11%-0.26
21/01/20263rd9/276%67%-0.10
12/02/20267th6/168%14%-0.54
08/03/20267th40/10%14%+0.14
05/07/20266th28/10%0%0.00
23/07/20262nd11/486%86%+0.00
04/08/202611th40/10%23%+0.23