13

L'as Des Isles
5yo Colt · 0-0
Enghien · Prix Des Buttes Chaumont - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#5
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Vincennes | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Pornichet | 6 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Laval | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Meslay Du Maine | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Maure De Bretagne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Chartres | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 1-13 · tight 34/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength57%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 02/07/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 15/03/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 24/03/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 92% | +0.76 |
| 09/04/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 11/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 82% | +0.24 |
| 13/08/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 90% | +0.35 |