6

Lead Me On
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Enghien · Prix Des Buttes Chaumont - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#8
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Vincennes | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | La Capelle | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Enghien | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | La Capelle | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | La Capelle | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Enghien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 11-14 · tight 80/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 26/04/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 73% | +0.68 |
| 11/06/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 29/06/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 07/07/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 20/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 08/08/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 22% | -0.41 |
| 25/08/2026 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 11/09/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |