7
Lucius De Puch
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Enghien · Prix Des Buttes Chaumont - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#3
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | La Capelle | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-01 | Vichy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-16 | Enghien | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-29 | Enghien | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Vincennes | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 2-9 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength63%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 27/10/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 08/11/2025 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 02/03/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 28/03/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 19/04/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 45% | +0.40 |
| 12/06/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 29/06/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 28/09/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |