12
Lefort Fligny
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Enghien · Prix Dic Williams - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#3
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Laval | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Caen | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-27 | Caen | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Vichy | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Caen | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Caen | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1763% of fieldRange 6-17 · tight 54/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength31%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 15/03/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 26/03/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 20/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 85% | +0.37 |
| 19/03/2026 | 12th | 100/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 25/03/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 62% | -0.12 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 27/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 85% | +0.58 |
| 10/09/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |