8
Leon De Source
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Enghien · Prix Dic Williams - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Pornichet | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-16 | Le Mont-Saint-Michel | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-16 | Enghien | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-15 | Chartres | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-24 | Mauquenchy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-16 | Vincennes | 5 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1750% of fieldRange 5-13 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength48%
Delivery trend -7.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/2024 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 17/12/2024 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 30/12/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 12/01/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 20/01/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 29/01/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 64% | -0.15 |
| 15/03/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 54% | +0.17 |