4
Lilium Tuilerie
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Enghien · Prix Dic Williams - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#13
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C10.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Lyon-Parilly | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Pornichet | 18 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Mauquenchy | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-02 | Cabourg | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-11 | Mauquenchy | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-07-31 | La Capelle | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1769% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 81/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength100%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2024 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 20/03/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 04/05/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 31/07/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 58% | +0.21 |
| 11/09/2025 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 02/10/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 59% | +0.59 |
| 02/07/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 36% | +0.30 |
| 04/09/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |