18
Little Wings
5yo Filly · 0-0
Enghien · Prix Dic Williams - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
95%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 18
Recent avg: C18.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Enghien | 18 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Craon | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-19 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Cholet | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Vichy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Chartres | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 17100% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 73/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength90%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/2025 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 30/05/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 15/08/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 06/09/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 26/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 92% | +0.39 |
| 04/05/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 09/06/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 31% | -0.06 |
| 19/08/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 26/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 92% | +0.29 |