13
Lozen De Banville
5yo Filly · 0-0
Enghien · Prix Dic Williams - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#4
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C18.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Enghien | 18 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | Vincennes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | La Capelle | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Enghien | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Enghien | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | La Capelle | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1794% of fieldRange 4-12 · tight 66/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength55%
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/03/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 79% | +0.52 |
| 26/04/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 13/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 07/07/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 36% | +0.21 |
| 22/07/2026 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 02/08/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 25/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 05/09/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 26/09/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |