9
Lucky Du Boufard
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Enghien · Prix Dic Williams - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#5
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C8.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Chartres | 6 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Laval | 6 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Pornichet | 18 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Caen | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Cherbourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-01 | Vincennes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1775% of fieldRange 5-15 · tight 58/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength46%
Delivery trend +3.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/2025 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 60% | -0.30 |
| 01/08/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.12 |
| 25/08/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 18/11/2025 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 01/12/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 18/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 02/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 93% | +0.45 |
| 28/08/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 11/09/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |