17
Lutin Jaba
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Enghien · Prix Dic Williams - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#7
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Enghien | 18 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Vincennes | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Lisieux | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Cabourg | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Pornichet | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-27 | Enghien | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1788% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 76/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength97%
Delivery trend +8.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/2025 | 6th | 11/10 | 94% | 58% | -0.36 |
| 06/05/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 31% | -0.06 |
| 14/05/2025 | 5th | 1/1 | 95% | 67% | -0.28 |
| 30/05/2025 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 22% | -0.41 |
| 30/04/2026 | 12th | 125/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 24/07/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 17/08/2026 | 8th | 125/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 04/09/2026 | 12th | 125/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 26/09/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 85% | +0.16 |