7

Mesta Atalante

4yo Filly · 0-0

Enghien · Prix Dic Williams - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#2

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Divonne Les Bains 21/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 021/08C?C0 @ Lyon La Soie 19/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 05 @ Lyon La Soie 29/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 029/015C0 @ Lyon La Soie 11/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 08/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 08/04C?C0 @ Vichy 10/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 0C0 @ Saint Galmier 21/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 021/07C?C0 @ Vichy 01/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 0C0 @ Feurs 16/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 016/09C?projClass-projected finish: 10th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Feurs?7th7th0
2026-08-01Vichy?8th8th0
2026-07-21Saint Galmier?7th7th0
2026-06-28Saint Galmier?0
2026-05-10Vichy?1st1st0
2026-04-08Lyon-Parilly?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0811/0221/0716/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1744% of fieldRange 5-17 · tight 49/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength31%

Delivery trend -2.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/08/20255th40/10%43%+0.43
19/01/20266th50/10%55%+0.55
29/01/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
11/02/20268th25/10%30%+0.30
08/04/20266th33/10%55%+0.55
10/05/20261st33/10%100%+1.00
21/07/20267th6/168%45%-0.23
01/08/20268th33/10%36%+0.36
16/09/20267th40/10%40%+0.40