7

Mesta Atalante
4yo Filly · 0-0
Enghien · Prix Dic Williams - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#2
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Feurs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Vichy | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Saint Galmier | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Saint Galmier | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-10 | Vichy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1744% of fieldRange 5-17 · tight 49/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength31%
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 19/01/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 29/01/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 11/02/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 08/04/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 10/05/2026 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 21/07/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 45% | -0.23 |
| 01/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 16/09/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |