5

Mallaury D'avel
4yo Filly · 9-8
Enghien · Prix De La Place Du Petit Pont - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#10
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-04 | Enghien | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Vincennes | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Nantes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-17 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 5-10 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength37%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 78% | +0.20 |
| 25/09/2025 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 88% | +0.46 |
| 09/10/2025 | 5th | 13/8 | 91% | 71% | -0.20 |
| 25/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 92% | +0.11 |
| 13/11/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 26/11/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 56% | +0.19 |
| 17/12/2025 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 88% | +0.32 |
| 19/06/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |