6

Mamma Mia De Lou
4yo Filly · 9-8
Enghien · Prix De La Place Du Petit Pont - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#2
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Enghien | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-19 | Vincennes | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Caen | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-30 | Vincennes | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-30 | Caen | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 43/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength77%
Delivery trend +12.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 64% | -0.07 |
| 26/01/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 30/04/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 92% | +0.15 |