9
Marchand De Reve
4yo Colt · 9-13
Enghien · Prix De La Place Du Petit Pont - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Vichy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-11 | Saint-Malo | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-04 | Enghien | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-12 | Vincennes | 4 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 82/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 90% | +0.53 |
| 30/04/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 31/05/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 18/06/2025 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 25/07/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |
| 01/01/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 11/02/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 11/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 08/09/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |