4
Montgeneve
4yo Gelding · 9-13
Enghien · Prix De La Place Du Petit Pont - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Cabourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Vincennes | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Caen | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength83%
Delivery trend +9.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 06/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 90% | +0.02 |
| 13/04/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 28/04/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 60% | +0.18 |
| 16/05/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.38 |
| 19/06/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 14/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 10/08/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 15/09/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |