7
Geronimo Matica
10yo Gelding · 0-0
Enghien · Prix Du Pont Des Arts - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#4
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Vichy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-27 | Enghien | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-30 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 2-13 · tight 35/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength21%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 12/07/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 05/08/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 14/09/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 90% | +0.53 |
| 27/11/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 88% | +0.22 |
| 27/12/2025 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 30/03/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 17/08/2026 | 5th | 6/4 | 92% | 50% | -0.42 |