10

Falto Des Landiers
11yo Gelding · 8-13
Enghien · Prix Du Jardin Du Luxembourg - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#13
Rank
Odds
60/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-23 | Argentan | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-17 | Vincennes | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Craon | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Enghien | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Cabourg | 1 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 5-11 · tight 66/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength39%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 26/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 05/07/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 65% | +0.65 |
| 17/07/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 25/07/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 07/09/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 17/09/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 23/09/2026 | 5th | 100/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 29/09/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |