11
Haida Sautonne
9yo Mare · 8-11
Enghien · Prix Du Jardin Du Luxembourg - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#12
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Vincennes | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Laval | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Enghien | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Enghien | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Vincennes | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 6-13 · tight 61/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength9%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 21/03/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 27/03/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 08/04/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 36% | -0.22 |
| 02/05/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 09/07/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 46% | +0.30 |
| 25/07/2026 | 11th | 3/1 | 84% | 29% | -0.56 |
| 19/08/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 17/09/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |