8
Hautbrion Colmi
9yo Gelding · 9-4
Enghien · Prix Du Jardin Du Luxembourg - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#3
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-07 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-17 | Enghien | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-06 | Vincennes | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 6-13 · tight 61/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength16%
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/2025 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 87% | +0.81 |
| 13/08/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 10/09/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 20/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 88% | +0.24 |
| 14/11/2025 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 59% | -0.20 |
| 17/12/2025 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 06/01/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 17/03/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 07/05/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |