14
Hello Jade Rush
9yo Mare · 8-13
Enghien · Prix Du Jardin Du Luxembourg - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#9
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Vincennes | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Enghien | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Chateaubriant | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Vincennes | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 3-11 · tight 56/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength50%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/12/2025 | 14th | 20/1 | 0% | 24% | +0.24 |
| 25/01/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 20/02/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 17/03/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 70% | +0.54 |
| 10/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 82% | +0.19 |
| 22/04/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 26/05/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 10/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 11/09/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |