12
His Dream De Cahot
9yo Gelding · 9-6
Enghien · Prix Du Jardin Du Luxembourg - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Vincennes | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Craon | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Saint-Malo | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Enghien | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Enghien | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-09 | Caen | 2 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 90/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +8.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 20/11/2025 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 40% | -0.02 |
| 14/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 85% | +0.43 |
| 25/01/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 36% | -0.01 |
| 22/04/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 05/08/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 07/09/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 69% | +0.63 |
| 17/09/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |