4
Hold The Line
9yo Gelding · 9-6
Enghien · Prix Du Jardin Du Luxembourg - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#7
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Vincennes | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Vincennes | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Laval | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Laval | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 75/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength85%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 93% | +0.33 |
| 15/02/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 10/03/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 31/03/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 58% | +0.32 |
| 23/04/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 05/05/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 03/06/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 11/09/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 64% | +0.03 |