5
Horsy Royal
9yo Gelding · 9-4
Enghien · Prix Du Jardin Du Luxembourg - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
27%
Place Prob
34%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Vincennes | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-25 | Enghien | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cabourg | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Vincennes | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Enghien | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 90/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2025 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 31/03/2026 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 18/04/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 12/05/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 20/05/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 19/06/2026 | 3rd | 80/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 10/07/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 25/07/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |