7
Hugo Occagnes
9yo Gelding · 9-6
Enghien · Prix Du Jardin Du Luxembourg - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#11
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Craon | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Cabourg | 1 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Vichy | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Vincennes | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-01-25 | Vincennes | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength93%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/11/2025 | 12th | 125/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 24/12/2025 | 14th | 100/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 05/01/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 25/01/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 21/06/2026 | 14th | 125/1 | 0% | 19% | +0.19 |
| 01/07/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 17/07/2026 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 07/09/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 94% | +0.94 |
| 14/09/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 64% | +0.11 |