1
Humour Festif
9yo Gelding · 9-2
Enghien · Prix Du Jardin Du Luxembourg - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#5
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Argentan | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-02 | Enghien | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cabourg | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Laval | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Enghien | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Marseille-borely | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 5-13 · tight 56/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength17%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 05/11/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 62% | +0.25 |
| 28/12/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 87% | +0.71 |
| 15/02/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |
| 25/03/2026 | 5th | 5/4 | 93% | 56% | -0.38 |
| 18/04/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 73% | +0.57 |
| 03/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 92% | +0.50 |
| 10/07/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 02/08/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |