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12

Nashville Blue

3yo Filly · 0-0 · Draw 12

Enghien · Prix De Saulieu - Attele · 1m 2f 151y

#5

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Laval 25/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 025/09C?C0 @ Enghien 09/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 09/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 19/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 019/12C?5 @ Laval 28/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 028/035C0 @ Argentan 11/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 011/05C?4 @ Toulouse 05/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 05/064C0 @ Vincennes 22/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 022/09C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-22Vincennes?5th5th0
2026-08-25Vichy?0
2026-06-05Toulouse41st1st0
2026-05-11Argentan?4th4th0
2026-03-28Laval57th7th0
2026-03-14Lisieux50

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0928/0322/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 2-13 · tight 49/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength57%

Delivery trend +6.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/09/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
09/10/20258th17/255%42%-0.14
19/12/20256th14/126%58%+0.32
28/03/20267th28/10%50%+0.50
11/05/20264th20/10%67%+0.67
05/06/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
22/09/20265th28/10%56%+0.56