5
Nefertiti
3yo Filly · 0-0 · Draw 5
Enghien · Prix De Saulieu - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Vincennes | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Pornichet | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Enghien | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Enghien | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Enghien | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 3-12 · tight 58/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength58%
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/04/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 12/05/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 58% | +0.06 |
| 25/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 01/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 13/08/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |
| 17/09/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |