1

Nell Des Rioults
3yo Filly · 0-0 · Draw 1
Enghien · Prix De Saulieu - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Vincennes | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Pornichet | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Le Mans | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength86%
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 92% | +0.06 |
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 82% | +0.00 |
| 04/09/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |