14

Neuilly
3yo Filly · 0-0 · Draw 14
Enghien · Prix De Saulieu - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#16
Rank
Odds
55/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Enghien | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Vincennes | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-10 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-16 | Vincennes | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-27 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 2-14 · tight 44/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength56%
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |
| 14/01/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 78% | +0.41 |
| 27/01/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 10/03/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 21/03/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 07/04/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 12/08/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 44% | +0.39 |