2
Nusch Nova
3yo Filly · 0-0 · Draw 2
Enghien · Prix De Saulieu - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#8
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Vincennes | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Cabourg | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Laval | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Enghien | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Caen | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 7-13 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength42%
Delivery trend -7.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2026 | 3rd | 80/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 12/05/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 10/06/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 89% | +0.63 |
| 26/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 73% | +0.57 |
| 19/08/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 17% | +0.11 |
| 28/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 90% | +0.37 |
| 25/09/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |