7
Miguel De Lou
4yo Gelding · 0-0 · Draw 7
Enghien · Prix De La Porte De Chatillon - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
64%
Place Prob
51%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Enghien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Les Sables | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Enghien | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Caen | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Laval | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 86/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 13/10/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 04/12/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 29/04/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 92% | +0.65 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 12/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 08/09/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |