6
River Moy
4yo Filly · 11-4
Fairyhouse · Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction & Median Maiden Hurdle · 2m
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼8
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +8.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Ballinrobe | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Sligo | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Ballinrobe | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 4-6 · tight 63/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength20%
Delivery trend -20.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 06/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 24/08/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |