Abando
4yo Gelding · 11-3
Fairyhouse · Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com (C & G) Maiden Hurdle · 2m
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Roscommon | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Ffos Las | 5 | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-05 | Bath | 5 | 8th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-06-03 | Nottingham | 5 | 4th | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-02-12 | Lingfield | 3 | 3rd | -3th | +5 |
| 2026-01-19 | Kempton | 3 | 5th | -1th | +5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +10.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 27/09/2025 | 5th | 6/4 | 92% | 50% | -0.42 |
| 09/10/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 19/01/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 56% | +0.13 |
| 12/02/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 03/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 05/06/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 23/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 28/09/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |