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10

Je Suis Celebre

4yo Gelding · 11-3

Fairyhouse · Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com (C & G) Maiden Hurdle · 2m

#8

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed ability on the Flat and looked set to place on debut for this yard when falling 3 out in maiden hurdle at Killarney last month, only a length down in second at the time. That form was boosted by the winner and third but he disappointed at Listowel last time and has a bit to prove now.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength34%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Wolverhampton 02/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 7f36y Std 142 · HIGHER CLASS2/0144 @ Kempton 07/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 7f Sta 138 · HIGHER CLASS7/014C8 @ Dundalk 20/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 7f Std 13520/02C8C8 @ Limerick 25/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 73 · 1m50y Yie 135 · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 73 par25/04C8OR 73BHA71 @ Fairyhouse 28/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR 71 · 1m1f210y Gd 141 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/05/2026 · OR 71 par28/0571OR 71C8 @ Bellewstown 03/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 67 · 7f195y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/07/2026 · OR 67 par3/07C8OR 67C8 @ Listowel 26/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 2m Goo 16126/09C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-26Listowel?5th5th0
2026-08-22Killarney?0
2026-07-03Bellewstown?8th7th+1
2026-05-28FairyhouseBHA7111th10th+1
2026-04-25Limerick?8th8th0
2026-02-20Dundalk?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0125/0426/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 6-12 · tight 62/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength17%

Delivery trend -0.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/01/20264th66/10%50%+0.50
07/01/20262nd6/168%86%+0.17
20/02/20265th11/893%56%-0.37
25/04/20268th16/116%50%+0.34
28/05/202611th20/10%33%+0.33
03/07/20268th16/116%50%+0.34
26/09/20265th17/255%64%+0.08