Arctic Piper
7yo Mare · 11-1 · OR 87
Fairyhouse · Racing Again October 10th Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m
#14
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 6.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Gowran Park | BHA87 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Galway | BHA90 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Tramore | BHA92 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Wexford | BHA92 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-08 | Clonmel | BHA94 | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-26 | Limerick | BHA97 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2024 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 03/10/2024 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 56% | +0.08 |
| 28/01/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 70% | +0.09 |
| 10/05/2025 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 31% | +0.15 |
| 20/11/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 45% | +0.19 |
| 26/12/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 13/08/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 07/09/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 02/10/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |